Premilinary explanations

 

 

EXPOSITION ABOUT

THE THEORY OF « EVENTALISM »

A NEW SCIENCE OF HISTORY BY EVENTS AND
A TOOL FOR STATESMEN
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1- PRELIMINARY EXPLANATIONS

  Eventalism is in the first place a new method of analyzing Nation’s Histories through the examination of important occurrences : wars, conquests, victories, defeats, alliances, treaties, etc... Secondly, Eventalism is a theory by which these occurrences are linked together by means of a logic which both explains the causes of past events and predicts the happening of future occurrences !

  According to Eventalism, the primary causes of past historical events have nothing to do with the political, economical and social explanations or interpretations given by classical historians. While these explanations are both realistic and legitimate; they are nothing but the consequences of the primary causes, as are the events themselves : they « pave the way » for the happening of the said events.

  These primary causes of Nation’s Histories reside in Laws which may be qualified as physical in the larger sense of the term. These Laws impose a potential determinism on Nations, which governs their foundation, their conflicts, their apogee and their demise.

  This determinism can be compared to that which obliges each and every man, once born, to grow up, to grow old and to die. It is a framework within which is found a field of freedom of action and of freewill . As such, Man is relatively free to live his life as he wishes, within the temporal limits of this life. The same holds true for Nations, which within the framework of their predetermined timeline, are potentially free to modulate their History through the governmental decisions they make.

   The analogy between Man and Nation ends there; as all men are programmed for lifespans that are more or less equal, and all Nations are not. In effect, the foundation and duration of Nations are subject to a cyclical Law of analogous rebirth between themselves. This Law has been recognized by philosophers of both ancient and medieval times as well as those of the last century : the « modulo temporal » (period) of renewal is correlated to the astronomical phenomena of « equinoctial precession », equal to about 1/12 of this, approximately every 2 160 years.

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